Thursday, August 6, 2026

๐…๐š๐ข๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž ๐š๐ญ ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐ฅ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ฅ๐ฌ , ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐จ๐ง ๐ฉ๐ž๐ง๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ซ๐ž๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ !


A lousy commentator has remarked that :”๐˜ญ๐˜ข ๐˜ณรฉ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ญ๐˜ข ๐˜ฑ๐˜ญ๐˜ถ๐˜ด ๐˜จ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ณรฉ๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฒ๐˜ถ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ ๐˜•๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜™๐˜ข๐˜ฎ๐˜จ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฐ๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ฎ'
Selon lui, cette rรฉforme constitue l'accomplissement politique le plus marquant du Premier ministre.
Totally wrong; U also have Ali Mansoor (๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ค๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ "๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ" ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ด ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ต) and the like who are distorting the entire discussion by emphasising pension reform over other reforms, revenue mobilisation and expenditure reductions. Fiscal consolidation isn’t limited to pension reform.
The PM’s recent statement also veers in the same direction focusing heavily on defending urgent pension reforms, warning against economic collapse from credit rating agencies like Moody’s. He is claiming that political opponents and critics "do not live in the real world" and fail to comprehend the massive economic weight that Moody’s evaluations hold over the country.
No Sir, your critics can easily point out that fiscal consolidation requires a broad mix of policies beyond pension reform. Credit rating agencies like Moody's look at a country's entire balance sheet, not just a single social program. From the recent Moody’s announcement of Periodic Review:
“๐˜‹๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜บ๐˜ด ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ง๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด๐˜ฐ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฅ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜จ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ง๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ง๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ด, ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฃ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ฃ๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ป๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ด, ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ต ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ข ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ๐˜ฏ๐˜จ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ.”
๐‘ฉ๐’š ๐’‡๐’“๐’‚๐’Ž๐’Š๐’๐’ˆ ๐’•๐’‰๐’† ๐’‘๐’†๐’๐’”๐’Š๐’๐’ ๐’“๐’†๐’‡๐’๐’“๐’Ž ๐’‚๐’” ๐’•๐’‰๐’† ๐’๐’๐’๐’š ๐’•๐’‰๐’Š๐’๐’ˆ ๐’”๐’•๐’‚๐’๐’…๐’Š๐’๐’ˆ ๐’ƒ๐’†๐’•๐’˜๐’†๐’†๐’ ๐‘ด๐’‚๐’–๐’“๐’Š๐’•๐’Š๐’–๐’” ๐’‚๐’๐’… "๐’‹๐’–๐’๐’Œ ๐’”๐’•๐’‚๐’•๐’–๐’”," ๐’•๐’‰๐’† ๐’ˆ๐’๐’—๐’†๐’“๐’๐’Ž๐’†๐’๐’• ๐’‚๐’•๐’•๐’†๐’Ž๐’‘๐’•๐’” ๐’‚๐’• ๐’„๐’“๐’†๐’‚๐’•๐’Š๐’๐’ˆ ๐’‚ ๐’”๐’†๐’๐’”๐’† ๐’๐’‡ ๐’๐’‚๐’•๐’Š๐’๐’๐’‚๐’ ๐’–๐’“๐’ˆ๐’†๐’๐’„๐’š ๐’•๐’ ๐’”๐’Š๐’๐’†๐’๐’„๐’† ๐’‘๐’๐’๐’Š๐’•๐’Š๐’„๐’‚๐’ ๐’๐’‘๐’‘๐’๐’๐’†๐’๐’•๐’”.
The Prime Minister's economic legacy is likely to be determined by a much broader, interconnected set of macroeconomic metrics-for e.g fiscal consolidation, public debt, structural economic growth.
The country was indeed saddled with an unsustainable fiscal deficit, a heavy debt burden, a widening external imbalance, a weakened rupee and constrained availability of foreign exchange. So this Govt set itself to the task to redress the situation.
Let's see the results :
๐‘ญ๐’‚๐’Š๐’๐’–๐’“๐’† ๐’๐’ 1- ๐‘ป๐’‰๐’† ๐’‡๐’Š๐’”๐’„๐’‚๐’ ๐’…๐’†๐’‡๐’Š๐’„๐’Š๐’•: (before the backtracking on the means test): The consolidated budget deficit remained unchanged around 5.7% of GDP in both 2025-2026 and 2026-2027, indicating the lack of progress in fiscal deficit reduction.
๐‘ญ๐’‚๐’Š๐’๐’–๐’“๐’† ๐’๐’ 2- ๐‘ป๐’‰๐’† ๐‘ซ๐’†๐’ƒ๐’• ๐‘ฉ๐’–๐’“๐’…๐’†๐’: Public sector debt is budgeted to decline by about 1 percentage points to 86.8% of GDP by June 2027. The debt ratio is likely to remain unchanged by June 2027 if the GDP deflator increase in 2026-2027 were less than projected. Even the small projected improvement in the debt burden is partly attributable to higher inflation, rather than genuine fiscal consolidation.
๐‘ญ๐’‚๐’Š๐’๐’–๐’“๐’† ๐’๐’ 3 - ๐‘น๐’Š๐’”๐’Š๐’๐’ˆ ๐’…๐’†๐’ƒ๐’•-๐’”๐’†๐’“๐’—๐’Š๐’„๐’Š๐’๐’ˆ ๐’„๐’๐’”๐’•๐’”: interest payments is expected to exceed Rs30 bn in 2026-2027. For the first time, the country is spending more this year on interest payments than on education
๐‘ญ๐’‚๐’Š๐’๐’–๐’“๐’† ๐’๐’ 4 - ๐‘ช๐’‚๐’‘๐’Š๐’•๐’‚๐’ ๐’”๐’‘๐’†๐’๐’…๐’Š๐’๐’ˆ - Capital expenditure remains constrained by high social spending and debt servicing, stagnating at very low levels of less than 2% of GDP.
๐‘ญ๐’‚๐’Š๐’๐’–๐’“๐’† ๐’๐’ 5 - ๐‘ฎ๐’“๐’๐’˜๐’•๐’‰ ๐’‘๐’“๐’๐’”๐’‘๐’†๐’„๐’•๐’”: The drive for fiscal sustainability should have been accompanied by policies for stronger economic expansion. Growth is likely to decline further towards 2.3%, closer to the worst-case scenario of Statistics Mauritius.
๐‘ญ๐’‚๐’Š๐’๐’–๐’“๐’† ๐’๐’. 6 -๐‘ฐ๐’๐’—๐’†๐’”๐’•๐’Ž๐’†๐’๐’• : Total investment, in real terms, contracted by 3% last year and is expected to register marginal growth this year. Private investment, accounting for over 80% of total investment, fell by 2.8% in real terms in 2025 and is expected to drop further by 1.7% in 2026. Public investment also recorded negative real growth of 4.4% last year.
๐‘ญ๐’‚๐’Š๐’๐’–๐’“๐’† ๐’๐’. 7 - ๐‘ฌ๐’™๐’‘๐’๐’“๐’•๐’” ๐’ˆ๐’“๐’๐’˜๐’•๐’‰: Exports of goods, in real terms, fell by 1.5% in 2025, following a sharp contraction in 2023. The scope for positive real growth in the goods export sector in 2026 is bleak.
๐‘ญ๐’‚๐’Š๐’๐’–๐’“๐’† ๐’๐’. 8 - ๐‘ท๐’–๐’ƒ๐’๐’Š๐’„ ๐‘บ๐’†๐’„๐’•๐’๐’“ ๐’“๐’†๐’”๐’•๐’“๐’–๐’„๐’•๐’–๐’“๐’Š๐’๐’ˆ ๐’‚๐’๐’… ๐’“๐’†๐’‡๐’๐’“๐’Ž๐’”: No progress in reorganisation to reduce inefficiencies, cut waste and rationalise parastatals to address the issue of inefficiency and generate budgetary savings.
๐‘ญ๐’‚๐’Š๐’๐’–๐’“๐’† ๐’๐’. 9- ๐‘ฐ๐’๐’‡๐’๐’‚๐’•๐’Š๐’๐’: The Bank of Mauritius projects average headline inflation to rise to around 5.5% in 2026, and notes that core inflation, which excludes controlled items, has remained persistently high, currently at 6.4%.
๐‘ญ๐’‚๐’Š๐’๐’–๐’“๐’† ๐’๐’. 10- ๐‘บ๐’•๐’‚๐’ƒ๐’Š๐’๐’Š๐’•๐’š ๐’๐’‡ ๐’•๐’‰๐’† ๐‘น๐’–๐’‘๐’†๐’†: Although it stabilised in 2025, the rupee has weakened by around 5% against both the US dollar and the euro since the start of the year. Rupee weakness reflects a chronic forex shortage, stemming directly from the large external imbalance.
๐‘ญ๐’‚๐’Š๐’๐’–๐’“๐’† ๐’๐’. 11- ๐‘ป๐’‰๐’† ๐’„๐’–๐’“๐’“๐’†๐’๐’• ๐’‚๐’„๐’„๐’๐’–๐’๐’• ๐’…๐’†๐’‡๐’Š๐’„๐’Š๐’• : Exports are not growing, while imports continue to rise, especially due to a higher fuel bill. The current account deficit, which has been widening again since 2024, is now expected to rise further to 7.5% of GDP, in the absence of Chagos income.
๐‘ญ๐’‚๐’Š๐’๐’–๐’“๐’† ๐’๐’.12 -๐‘ฐ๐’Ž๐’‘๐’๐’†๐’Ž๐’†๐’๐’•๐’Š๐’๐’ˆ ๐‘ท๐’“๐’๐’ˆ๐’“๐’‚๐’Ž๐’Ž๐’† ๐‘ฉ๐’‚๐’”๐’†๐’… ๐‘ฉ๐’–๐’…๐’ˆ๐’†๐’•๐’Š๐’๐’ˆ(๐‘ท๐‘ฉ๐‘ฉ): The re-introduction of PBB has again failed to improve the effectiveness of public expenditures and public service delivery and to reduce wastage, operational costs, and budget variances . We had warned them that reviving PBB without the assistance of international and experienced professional consultants would be a futile endeavour.
๐‘ญ๐’‚๐’Š๐’๐’–๐’“๐’† ๐’๐’. 13 - T๐ก๐ž ๐๐ž๐ง๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐‘๐ž๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ ๐Ÿ๐ข๐š๐ฌ๐œ๐จ : ๐’•๐’‰๐’† ๐’•๐’“๐’–๐’”๐’• ๐’…๐’†๐’‡๐’Š๐’„๐’Š๐’•
- ๐‘ป๐’“๐’‚๐’๐’”๐’‘๐’‚๐’“๐’†๐’๐’• ๐‘ช๐’๐’”๐’•-๐‘ช๐’–๐’•๐’•๐’Š๐’๐’ˆ: Successfully navigating pension reform requires building public trust by demonstrating shared sacrifice. Convincing voters that a reform is necessary—and not just a way to balance the budget on the backs of retirees
- ๐‘ท๐’“๐’๐’‘๐’†๐’“ ๐’‘๐’“๐’†๐’‘๐’‚๐’“๐’‚๐’•๐’Š๐’๐’ with different scenarios of the reform. S๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐—ต ๐—ฎ ๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐˜€ ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—บ announced ๐˜„๐—ถ๐˜๐—ต๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜ ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€๐˜‚๐—น๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ฐ๐˜‚๐˜€๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ถ๐˜๐—ต ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€, ๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—น ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜†, ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐˜€๐—ผ ๐—ผ๐—ป. It should have involved proper public hearings and stakeholder consensus rather than unilateral policy announcement
- ๐‘ท๐’‰๐’‚๐’”๐’†๐’… ๐’Š๐’Ž๐’‘๐’๐’†๐’Ž๐’†๐’๐’•๐’‚๐’•๐’Š๐’๐’: Avoid sudden shock to the system. Announcing changes well in advance provides time for families to adjust their savings and retirement choices, which significantly reduces the cost of the transition.
“๐˜๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ค๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฎ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ข ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ซ๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฎ ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ง? ๐˜–๐˜ณ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ช๐˜ต ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ง๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ต ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ค๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ฃ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ต, ๐˜ง๐˜ข๐˜ช๐˜ณ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ด, ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ถ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜ค๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ฃ๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜บ?"
๐“๐ก๐š๐ญ’๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฉ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐›๐ข๐ฅ๐š๐ง ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐†๐จ๐ฏ๐ญ ๐๐ž "๐ซ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž" , ๐†๐จ๐ฏ๐ญ ๐๐ฎ "๐’๐š๐ง๐ณ๐ฆ๐š๐ง" , ๐ฐ๐ก๐ข๐œ๐ก ๐ก๐š๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ง๐ž๐ ๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ญ๐จ ๐›๐ž ๐š ๐๐ž๐œ๐ž๐ฉ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง; ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ข๐ซ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ž๐œ๐จ๐ง๐จ๐ฆ๐ข๐œ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฏ๐ข๐ฏ๐š๐ฅ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐ง๐จ๐ฐ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐ซ๐ž๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐จ๐ง ๐ก๐จ๐ฐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐œ๐œ๐ž๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐จ๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฆ๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ฌ๐ž ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ข๐Ÿ๐ข๐œ ๐ž๐œ๐จ๐ง๐จ๐ฆ๐ข๐œ ๐ฆ๐ž๐ญ๐ซ๐ข๐œ๐ฌ.