A lousy commentator has remarked that :”๐ญ๐ข ๐ณรฉ๐ง๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฎ๐ฆ ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ด ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ด๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ด ๐ฆ๐ด๐ต ๐ญ๐ข ๐ฑ๐ญ๐ถ๐ด ๐จ๐ณ๐ข๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ฆ ๐ณรฉ๐ถ๐ด๐ด๐ช๐ต๐ฆ ๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐ช๐ฒ๐ถ๐ฆ ๐ฅ๐ฆ ๐๐ข๐ท๐ช๐ฏ ๐๐ข๐ฎ๐จ๐ฐ๐ฐ๐ญ๐ข๐ฎ'
Selon lui, cette rรฉforme constitue l'accomplissement politique le plus marquant du Premier ministre.
Totally wrong; U also have Ali Mansoor (๐ฉ๐ช๐ด ๐ค๐ฉ๐ข๐ต๐ธ๐ข๐ช๐ฏ๐จ "๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ถ ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ฏ ๐ณ๐ฐ๐ญ๐ฆ" ๐ฉ๐ข๐ด ๐ฏ๐ฐ ๐ญ๐ช๐ฎ๐ช๐ต) and the like who are distorting the entire discussion by emphasising pension reform over other reforms, revenue mobilisation and expenditure reductions. Fiscal consolidation isn’t limited to pension reform.
The PM’s recent statement also veers in the same direction focusing heavily on defending urgent pension reforms, warning against economic collapse from credit rating agencies like Moody’s. He is claiming that political opponents and critics "do not live in the real world" and fail to comprehend the massive economic weight that Moody’s evaluations hold over the country.
No Sir, your critics can easily point out that fiscal consolidation requires a broad mix of policies beyond pension reform. Credit rating agencies like Moody's look at a country's entire balance sheet, not just a single social program. From the recent Moody’s announcement of Periodic Review:
“๐๐ฆ๐ญ๐ข๐บ๐ด ๐ช๐ฏ ๐ง๐ช๐ด๐ค๐ข๐ญ ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ด๐ฐ๐ญ๐ช๐ฅ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ข๐ต ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฅ ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ด๐ช๐ด๐ต๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต๐ญ๐บ ๐ญ๐ข๐ณ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ง๐ช๐ด๐ค๐ข๐ญ ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ง๐ช๐ค๐ช๐ต๐ด, ๐ค๐ข๐ถ๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ฃ๐ต ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ข๐ต ๐ฃ๐ฆ๐ด๐ต ๐ด๐ต๐ข๐ฃ๐ช๐ญ๐ช๐ป๐ฆ ๐ข๐ต ๐ฉ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ท๐ฆ๐ญ๐ด, ๐ธ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ญ๐ฅ ๐ฃ๐ฆ ๐ญ๐ช๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ญ๐บ ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ด๐ถ๐ญ๐ต ๐ช๐ฏ ๐ข ๐ณ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ฅ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ฏ๐จ๐ณ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฆ.”
๐ฉ๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ ๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐
๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐ด๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐
"๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐," ๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐.
The Prime Minister's economic legacy is likely to be determined by a much broader, interconnected set of macroeconomic metrics-for e.g fiscal consolidation, public debt, structural economic growth.
The country was indeed saddled with an unsustainable fiscal deficit, a heavy debt burden, a widening external imbalance, a weakened rupee and constrained availability of foreign exchange. So this Govt set itself to the task to redress the situation.
Let's see the results :
๐ญ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ 1- ๐ป๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐
๐๐๐๐๐๐: (before the backtracking on the means test): The consolidated budget deficit remained unchanged around 5.7% of GDP in both 2025-2026 and 2026-2027, indicating the lack of progress in fiscal deficit reduction.
๐ญ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ 2- ๐ป๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐๐ ๐ฉ๐๐๐
๐๐: Public sector debt is budgeted to decline by about 1 percentage points to 86.8% of GDP by June 2027. The debt ratio is likely to remain unchanged by June 2027 if the GDP deflator increase in 2026-2027 were less than projected. Even the small projected improvement in the debt burden is partly attributable to higher inflation, rather than genuine fiscal consolidation.
๐ญ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ 3 - ๐น๐๐๐๐๐ ๐
๐๐๐-๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐: interest payments is expected to exceed Rs30 bn in 2026-2027. For the first time, the country is spending more this year on interest payments than on education
๐ญ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ 4 - ๐ช๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐
๐๐๐ - Capital expenditure remains constrained by high social spending and debt servicing, stagnating at very low levels of less than 2% of GDP.
๐ญ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ 5 - ๐ฎ๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐: The drive for fiscal sustainability should have been accompanied by policies for stronger economic expansion. Growth is likely to decline further towards 2.3%, closer to the worst-case scenario of Statistics Mauritius.
๐ญ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐. 6 -๐ฐ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ : Total investment, in real terms, contracted by 3% last year and is expected to register marginal growth this year. Private investment, accounting for over 80% of total investment, fell by 2.8% in real terms in 2025 and is expected to drop further by 1.7% in 2026. Public investment also recorded negative real growth of 4.4% last year.
๐ญ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐. 7 - ๐ฌ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐: Exports of goods, in real terms, fell by 1.5% in 2025, following a sharp contraction in 2023. The scope for positive real growth in the goods export sector in 2026 is bleak.
๐ญ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐. 8 - ๐ท๐๐๐๐๐ ๐บ๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐: No progress in reorganisation to reduce inefficiencies, cut waste and rationalise parastatals to address the issue of inefficiency and generate budgetary savings.
๐ญ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐. 9- ๐ฐ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐: The Bank of Mauritius projects average headline inflation to rise to around 5.5% in 2026, and notes that core inflation, which excludes controlled items, has remained persistently high, currently at 6.4%.
๐ญ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐. 10- ๐บ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ ๐๐๐ ๐น๐๐๐๐: Although it stabilised in 2025, the rupee has weakened by around 5% against both the US dollar and the euro since the start of the year. Rupee weakness reflects a chronic forex shortage, stemming directly from the large external imbalance.
๐ญ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐. 11- ๐ป๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐
๐๐๐๐๐๐ : Exports are not growing, while imports continue to rise, especially due to a higher fuel bill. The current account deficit, which has been widening again since 2024, is now expected to rise further to 7.5% of GDP, in the absence of Chagos income.
๐ญ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐.12 -๐ฐ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐ท๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐ฉ๐๐๐๐
๐ฉ๐๐
๐๐๐๐๐๐(๐ท๐ฉ๐ฉ): The re-introduction of PBB has again failed to improve the effectiveness of public expenditures and public service delivery and to reduce wastage, operational costs, and budget variances . We had warned them that reviving PBB without the assistance of international and experienced professional consultants would be a futile endeavour.
๐ญ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐. 13 - T๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ง๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ ๐๐ข๐๐ฌ๐๐จ : ๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ ๐
๐๐๐๐๐๐
- ๐ป๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐ช๐๐๐-๐ช๐๐๐๐๐๐: Successfully navigating pension reform requires building public trust by demonstrating shared sacrifice. Convincing voters that a reform is necessary—and not just a way to balance the budget on the backs of retirees
- ๐ท๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ with different scenarios of the reform. S๐๐ฐ๐ต ๐ฎ ๐๐ถ๐ด๐ป๐ถ๐ณ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ป๐ ๐บ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐ ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ๐บ announced ๐๐ถ๐๐ต๐ผ๐๐ ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐๐๐น๐๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ฑ๐ถ๐๐ฐ๐๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐ ๐๐ถ๐๐ต ๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ฒ ๐๐ป๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐, ๐ฐ๐ถ๐๐ถ๐น ๐๐ผ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ฒ๐๐, ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐๐ผ ๐ผ๐ป. It should have involved proper public hearings and stakeholder consensus rather than unilateral policy announcement
- ๐ท๐๐๐๐๐
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐: Avoid sudden shock to the system. Announcing changes well in advance provides time for families to adjust their savings and retirement choices, which significantly reduces the cost of the transition.
“๐๐ด ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ด๐ช๐ด๐ต๐ข๐ฏ๐ค๐ฆ ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ง๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฎ ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ช๐ฎ๐ข๐ณ๐ช๐ญ๐บ ๐ข ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ซ๐ฆ๐ค๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ง๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฎ ๐ช๐ต๐ด๐ฆ๐ญ๐ง? ๐๐ณ ๐ฅ๐ฐ๐ฆ๐ด ๐ช๐ต ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ง๐ญ๐ฆ๐ค๐ต ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ค๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฏ๐ด ๐ข๐ฃ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ต ๐ต๐ณ๐ถ๐ด๐ต, ๐ง๐ข๐ช๐ณ๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด, ๐ข๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐ช๐ฏ๐ด๐ต๐ช๐ต๐ถ๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ข๐ญ ๐ค๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฅ๐ช๐ฃ๐ช๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ?"
๐๐ก๐๐ญ’๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐ข๐ฅ๐๐ง ๐จ๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐จ๐ฏ๐ญ ๐๐ "๐ซ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐" , ๐๐จ๐ฏ๐ญ ๐๐ฎ "๐๐๐ง๐ณ๐ฆ๐๐ง" , ๐ฐ๐ก๐ข๐๐ก ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ง๐๐ ๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง; ๐ญ๐ก๐๐ข๐ซ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐จ๐ง๐จ๐ฆ๐ข๐ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฏ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฅ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐ง๐จ๐ฐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐จ๐ง ๐ก๐จ๐ฐ ๐ญ๐ก๐๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐๐๐๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐จ๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฆ๐ ๐จ๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐๐ฌ๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐ ๐๐๐จ๐ง๐จ๐ฆ๐ข๐ ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ซ๐ข๐๐ฌ.
