Thursday, November 22, 2018

Rethinking development: what does the population really want?

(Published in MTimes of 23 November 2018)
In last week’s interview to Mauritius Times, Nikhil Treebhoohun, economist and former director of NPCC, raises an important question: what does the population really want? 

He said: “The transition to a high income economy has been on the cards for the last 5-6 years. As mentioned before, this requires an annual growth rate of at least 7% per year. The country must become more productive. But does the population really want this? Or should we instead like Bhutan go for a Happiness Index or like the UK go for a Wellness Index?”
Similarly in this week’s editorial ‘A quand un umuganda mauricien?’, J.P. Arouff of Business Magazine raises the issue of our social development as well as economic in such terms : “Construire un pont, une école, nettoyer les drains ou encore aider les personnes en difficulté sont autant de tâches auxquelles s’acquittent les Rwandais en ce jour spécial. Ce concept fédérateur véhicule des valeurs très fortes. C’est d’ailleurs ce qui a permis au Rwanda, décimé par le génocide, de revenir de l’enfer et de se reconstruire un avenir.
We are having regularly debates and discussions on all aspects of our economy and society especially on the quantum of growth but very little on our model of development and on the quality of our growth. Yes, there have been ample discussions on our potential growth rate, the need to achieve the status of a high income economy by such and such date - whatever be the means to achieve that – but especially by boosting consumption or/and unproductive public and private investments. It’s as if we have no choice but to drive forward to realise a still higher growth rate than the previous year. But is this what the population really wants or is it a development model imposed on us by a detached ruling elite out of touch with ordinary people’s lives, realities and hopes?
Apart from some radical political parties usually positioned on the fringes, why don’t the mainstream political parties, the media, academia and others question the very basis of our development model? Why do we have to continue with the smart cities and real estate schemes with the result that a large part of the population is being crammed into smaller and smaller and relatively poorer areas? Why do we continue to graft on our economy imported concepts of economic development like the tax-centric Global Business Sector and unproductive FDI inflows that have not delivered in terms of competitiveness, technology, management know-how and jobs ? On the contrary, these huge capital inflows have been the cause of the appreciating exchange rates and contributed to the gradual decline of our manufacturing sector - the so-called Dutch disease.
The elite and the intelligentsia, smug in their echo-chamber, have imposed upon us the tyranny of “no alternatives.” which we used to call the TINAs. We have become numb, incapable to break that spell that prevents us from seeing that an economic system that doesn’t deliver for large parts of the population is a failed economic system. All the issues pertaining to encroachment on our beaches, our coasts, our environment, our islands like Ile-aux-Benitiers and the plundering of our natural resources and our Exclusive Economic Zone are testimonies of a failing economic system. 
The frenetic race to necessarily realize above average GDP growth rates by any means (more of bricks and mortar to copycat Singapore) is an obsession of the oligarchy-dominated private sector corporates and their lackeys; it is not necessarily that of the population. But they do succeed in tricking them along with their discourse on the “trickle-down” benefits down the line. But that’s a minor piece of the big pie, mere crumbs at the table or leftovers like the minimum wage or the Negative Income Tax to buy the workers in. 
But gradually as the population see the certainties of their world fade away and the resulting inequality of economic outcomes strips away the democratic veil that hides the true workings of such a model of development from the majority of citizens, the people of this country will realise that there are alternatives to this model of development which is neither desirable nor workable. Alternatives which are actually far more resilient, sustainable and inclusive, far more oriented towards achieving quality growth than the race to the bottom and far more targeted towards improving happiness and welfare indices rather than the Doing Business indicators. Under these alternative models, the “umuganda mauricien” is realizable. That is what inclusive economic and social strategies are all about.