Thursday, September 13, 2007

Performance Budgeting for Better Economic Management.

Government is committed to a comprehensive and ambitious structural reform program covering fiscal consolidation, public sector management, labor market regulation, investment promotion, economic opening and democratization and environment sustainability. One of the pillars of the reform programme is  fiscal consolidation and public sector efficiency.
The Ministry of Finance and Economic Development (MOFED) is organizing an interactive seminar  next week, essentially among civil servants and opinion leaders, on the budget and civil service reforms being carried out to ensure better delivery of public services. To guide the reader through this analysis, in a permanent quest for answers to a very complex and vast subject such as performance budgeting., we will attempt to answer to these main questions: What are rationale for the reform? What does implementation of a programmatic approach within a Medium Term Expenditure Framework(MTEF) intend to accomplish? What are the accompanying measures to improve performance budgeting and management? What are the achievements of performance budgeting and management? What are the challenges ahead ?
Sound budget management has been critical for Mauritius’ success in the past, and will continue to be a cornerstone of our success in the future. However, Mauritius experienced some slippages in the recent past. To secure fiscal discipline, government has initiated a growth-friendly fiscal consolidation programme with emphasis on high-quality reduction in the deficit. The key components of the medium-term fiscal adjustment programme are revenue consolidation, expenditure reduction, restructuring and management, and the adoption of a programme based budgeting embedded in a medium-term expenditure framework.

Rationale for reform
.  The main shortcomings of the earlier incremental budgetary system are that well-structured interactions and thorough discussions on the prioritization of the competing proposals of line ministries are not carried out; resource allocation decisions do not clearly reflect the trade-offs between and within sectors; and, given the focus on inputs rather than a programme of activities or outcomes aimed at achieving government objectives, funding proposals are not made subject to expected performance. These have contributed to a lack of effectiveness in public expenditure projects. The budgetary system falls short on development policy and sectoral programme design as well as monitoring and evaluation of outcomes. It is particularly ill-equipped to engage in good strategic planning. It does not allow government to effectively evaluate its earlier measures, rethink its key policy objectives and prioritise expenditures in the best possible way. The lack of cohesion in expenditure programmes, formulated on an ad hoc basis and on insufficient analytical foundations, makes trade-offs between different priorities difficult. It only encourages line ministries, as a convenient short cut, to put forward a shopping list of projects, not necessarily in line with their genuine needs.  Most of the time, ministries tend to regard the ceilings set by the MOFED not as firm envelopes but simply as departure points for a bilateral budget negotiating exercise - an adversarial contest between MOFED and spending Ministries and Departments in which outcomes are determined more by influence than strategic importance. The budgetary procedures for the allocation of resources do not allow for greater contestability and transparency.   The budget fails to some extent on the  two core budgetary outcomes, namely allocative efficiency and effective service delivery.

PBB within a Medium Term Expenditure Framework

The fundamental objective of the MTEF is to enable government to prepare annual budgets within a sustainable fiscal strategy, which extends over several years, and to facilitate a progressive reshaping of budget allocations across and within sector portfolios, consistent with the strategic goals of the reform programme. A PBB within MTEF is a central tool for prioritising and allocating resources between sectors. The chief elements of the top-down approach are the development of a macroeconomic framework, medium-term fiscal targets, an aggregate expenditure limit, and sectoral allocations. The framework discusses critical macroeconomic and fiscal issues facing the economy, and incorporates likely and consistent medium-term macroeconomic and fiscal frameworks for the budget. It also sets out the fiscal policy trade-offs faced by the government and associated implementation issues. The fiscal framework details targets for total revenue, spending and the deficit for the forthcoming budget and successive framework years, based upon the government’s current assessment of the development path of the economy and its strategic intentions for fiscal policy. The medium term fiscal framework is presented to Cabinet in February, four months before the presentation of the budget, for discussion and endorsement ahead of the issue of a Budget Circular. The process of setting budgetary ceilings involves assessment of the macroeconomic forecasts, agreement on overall expenditures, and allocation of resources between ministries according to priorities. As part of this process, lower priority projects are dropped from the budget. The ceilings are consolidated in a Cabinet report, which outlines the overall macroeconomic situation, targets, and broad issues for reallocation of resources between sectors. The ceilings are then issued to all ministries in the Budget Circular, which sets out overall government objectives and macroeconomic targets .The Budget Circular process entails the conveying of ceilings to line ministries for the following three fiscal years. These ceilings are consistent with the aggregate fiscal framework. The purpose of the medium-term ceilings is to give ministries an indication of the level of funding they may reasonably expect to receive for existing programmes and policies in the outer years. The expectation, however, would be that ministries frame their spending proposals, both recurrent and capital, within these medium-term resource envelopes.

This is complimented by the bottom-up process of policy design and implementation, programme monitoring and costing. It requires that line ministries are staffed both by administrators and accountants, and by a multi-disciplinary team comprising policy specialists and economists, who not only formulate polices according to medium-term budget availability but also monitor outputs and outcomes that feed into the annual budget exercise. This would help line ministry managers to ensure that resources are used to achieve the intended outcomes. The bottom-up budgetary process would also enable government to better gauge progress in implementation and allow activities to be linked to performance indicators. Such a performance focus, or increased emphasis on service delivery, would increase the transparency of government and strengthen democratic accountability. Finally, ministries would estimate the costs of implementing policy and achieving agreed outputs through the preparation of 3-year, integrated, programme based budgets, and provide this information to MOFED and Cabinet, so that adjustments in the allocations between sectors and ministries are based on the costs of implementing priority policies and programmes.


The challenges

The introduction of the PBB within MTEF is an attempt to move away from conventional incremental budgeting, where current budgets are increased by some margin for the following year, to a budgeting system based on the actual cost of service delivery. The emphasis is placed on aligning the objectives of programmes with outputs, and increasing results-accountability, than on improving cost-effectiveness. We believe that for a genuine bottom-up approach, the causal links between activities and outputs and between outputs and policy outcomes have to be well established. Moreover, objectives and targets have to be properly disaggregated and cascaded down to operating units. Implementation decisions should be devolved to the lowest feasible level in the hierarchy. The determination of priorities becomes precise and realistic during the preparation of the budget. Thus, it is important that there should be mechanisms within the budget process that encourage the re-evaluation of policies and priorities and that facilitate the generation of policy alternatives. A coherent framework for MTEF/PBB preparation, training needs and implementation from the MOFED, which would serve as a foundation, is crucial for generating sufficient commitment and ownership. For an MTEF to perform its strategic allocation function, the top echelons of government need to have ownership of the medium-term inter-sectoral allocations. Ultimately, the allocation function remains the privilege and responsibility of the political leadership. Equally important   is the reconfiguration of the ministries and institutions to support the implementation of MTEF/PBB. This will also necessitate that the MOFED is redesigned to effectively co-ordinate MTEF/PBB, review sectoral policies and help to formulate 3-year programmes; line ministries are restructured to meet the demands of programme based budgeting; strategic planning and analytical capabilities for assessing and appraising public spending are reinforced in line ministries and departments; And of course, the political will to carry forward the budget reform programme must be sustained.
(Some notes: Performance Budgeting ;An agency or authority proficiency to acquire resources economically; and use those resources efficiently (input-output) and effectively (output-outcome) to achieve performance targets; Outputs: the goods or services (usually the latter) which government agencies provide for citizens.Outputs are potentially largely controllable by government agencies and measurable either quantitatively or qualitatively. Thus outputs can be used for performance management more easily than outcomes.Inputs: the resources used by government to produce outputs. Inputs include the labor (the range of skills, expertise and knowledge of employees), capital assets (including land and buildings, motor vehicles and computer networks), financial assets, and intangible assets (such as intellectual property) which are used in delivering outputs. Outcomes: the effects on society of outputs from governmental entities .Outcomes – whether intended or unintended – are not usually completely controllable by governments. The degree of control depends on the influence of extraneous factors on the goal in question, the effectiveness of implementation and the quality of the policies for reaching the goal.)