Wednesday, May 17, 2000

The Economy and Challenges



The Mauritius economy has been struggling over the last year.  What is the Government doing to encourage growth?


1999 has been an exceptional year.  Overall economic growth is estimated at 2.7%, almost half the average registered over the past two decades.  There are two major factors explaining this slackening in economic growth.  First, Mauritius was hit by one of the worst droughts which caused agricultural production to drop by 25% and sugarcane output by 41%.  Second, the rupee appreciated by almost 11% vis-à-vis euro and euro-zone currencies affecting EPZ and sugar receipts.  Moreover, lower growths registered in our major European markets have affected our exports potential.  However, the economy remained resilient as other sectors, such as construction, tourism and financial services, recorded sustained growth.  Overall growth, excluding the sugar sector, is estimated at 5.5%.

Mauritius has to withstand the upcoming challenges of the new international economic environment and stay competitive.  Notwithstanding the positive economic outlook, some fundamental policy reforms are required to tackle underlying problems cropping up both on the international and domestic fronts. 

On the international front, Mauritius has to face the challenges of a global economy characterised by fierce competition for higher global market share in terms of goods, services and capital resources.  While the WTO offers tremendous opportunities for trade expansion and economic growth, it puts developing countries like Mauritius under severe pressure and constraints in the adjustment process.  While the country is gradually adapting to changes in the external economic environment, it has yet to further enhance productivity to enable it to compete with low-cost producers.  Thus, our international competitiveness needs to be stepped up through greater productivity gains.  A new institutional framework on Productivity will be set up to give the concept a new dimension.  We also need to concentrate efforts on such aspects as quality and quick response and develop new niches for our products.

On the local front, the following sensitive issues need to be urgently addressed:
(i) Education and Training: There is an urgent need to step up our human capital base.  Human resource development would be instrumental to drive the economy into the next millennium and both the government and the private sector are spending a lot in training and education. 
(ii) Labour market: The labour market needs to be more flexible allowing workers to shift from one job to another more easily.  Pay should also be linked to performance and productivity.  This would trigger incentives for higher human capital investment and better on-the-job performance.
(iii) Civil Service Reform- Reforms should be oriented to support the productive sectors of the economy.  The Civil Service should be more output-driven rather than process-driven.  Some streamlining of functions and activities is required to reduce pressure on the total wage bill which constitutes a large chunk of the current budget.
(iv) Infrastructure- Improvement in the country’s international trading status through “new quick response” strategies and development of a sea/air regional transport hub in the freeport remain vital.  Bottlenecks in internal transport need to be addressed urgently.  The telecommunications sector needs to be opened to greater competition and world-class technical know-how. 
(v) Environment- Effective treatment of waste from industrial and tourism sectors is required.  Environmental degradation cropping from inappropriately planned urban growth should also be checked.
(vi) Fiscal viability - Civil service and welfare state reforms, privatisation of certain activities and promotion of greater private sector participation and competition in the provision of infrastructure, utilities and core services can further help to promote fiscal viability. Improving the efficiency of welfare expenditures and meeting the needs of the genuinely disadvantaged would also help in restructuring the social maintenance programmes.  The implementation of projects under the Build Operate Transfer scheme may improve fiscal position and, at the same time, promote private sector participation in economic activities.




Key Sectors: Future Growth
Our next phase of economic development will be characterised by a shift towards a high information-based system.  The three traditional cylinders of growth namely agriculture, manufacturing and tourism will receive renewed dynamism while the international services, the fastest growing sector will gradually assert itself as the fourth cylinder in the engine of development.

Sugar cane, which has dominated the economic landscape for many years, will continue to play a vital role in the primary sector and in the overall economic development of the country.  Optimum exploitation of the various by-products of sugar cane such as energy (bagasse) and special sugars will contribute to higher value added.  Perspectives for development in crop diversification, biotechnology, agro-industries, livestock and fisheries and aquaculture will be bright.  High-tech research and exploration services for the exploitation of mineral and energy resources of our Economic Exclusive Zone (EEZ) offer additional means for the country to boost growth prospects.

The core of the textile industry, which characterises the industrial set-up in Mauritius, will be reoriented with increased delocalisation of low-end tasks overseas while the production of higher value-added items will be encouraged.  Developments in such sectors like electronics, printing and publishing, light engineering and jewellery will be intensive, generating high value added and promoting industrial diversification.

The tourism industry, which is today the third foreign exchange earner, will be called to play an even more critical and dynamic sector in the future.  It will have to maximise its existing competitive advantages and create new ones.  Selective, quality and environment-friendly tourism will be promoted to hoist Mauritius as a high class resort tourist destination.  Mauritius, with its infrastructure and natural beauties, will increasingly appeal to the following segments, namely conference, sporting, honeymoon and wedding market.  In around two decades, Mauritius is expected to receive one million tourists, thus adding to bright prospects for revenue-generating and employment creation capacity for the economy.

Mauritius cannot, however, put its eggs in a limited basket.  It has to diversify and consolidate its economic structures to cope with growing challenges looming ahead.  The quaternary sector is a new area, which offers the potential for Mauritius to become the regional hub and scope to drive the economy forward into the next century.  Financial services are burgeoning and are witnessing leap-frog developments in terms of technology and new business horizons.  They are also going offshore.  Our young capital market is knowing unprecedented change with the recent introduction of a new modern clearing system.  The number of companies operating in Offshore business activities (over 7000), with wide ranging services like fund management to aircraft leasing and operators in the freeport sector (300) illustrates the momentum the financial business services are gaining. 

The wide application of new information-based system generating various kinds of computer services such as data processing, Computer-Aided Design (CAD), software services, publishing and voice operations is gaining momentum.  It is expected that with the new dimension IT is receiving, the possibility of export of computer services exists, generating higher foreign exchange earnings and employment.

These developments would not be possible if the economy is not equipped with a sound regulatory and macroeconomic framework, an efficient services sector, an appropriate institutional support, a modern infrastructure, a skilled manpower and good governance.