Tuesday, January 24, 2017

Competitivity ?

The Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) has appreciated by 4.4 % between 2006 and 2014 and has depreciated slightly in 2015. Can we thus claim that this suggests an expansionary monetary policy.  No, the claim is not automatic. For instance, the depreciation may be offset by an increase in domestic prices relative to foreign prices or it may reflect a deterioration in the terms of trade ( i.e not in response to monetary policy decision, but due to some change in world conditions).